recession

Will the risk of recession remain in the hands of central banks?

Will the risk of recession remain in the hands of central banks?

The bond markets have turned too quickly away from the subject of inflation, and are more interested in the prospects for growth. Global central banks are aggressively tightening policy to rein in decades-high inflation, sparking fears of an impending economic recession. The latest US inflation data has slowed slightly, but is still far too high …

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Energy crisis in Europe

The recession in the central scenario

Pending a decline in inflation in early 2023, growth prospects are clearly on the downside. In July, the cyclical indicators in Europe and the United States accentuated their decline to the point of approaching or crossing, in some cases, the threshold for entering recession. The deterioration affects the business climate, household confidence, consumer spending, activity …

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The Class Dynamics of the Federal Reserve's Recession Program

The Class Dynamics of the Federal Reserve’s Recession Program

On Thursday, the Commerce Department announced that the US economy had contracted for the second consecutive quarter, entering a “technical recession”. Along with the economic contraction comes a series of layoffs that threaten to turn into a torrent as the economy slows further. This month, more than 30,000 layoffs took place in the technology sector …

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Fed drives looking in rearview mirror as recession waits around the next bend

Fed drives looking in rearview mirror as recession waits around the next bend

The Federal Reserve seems not to believe in a pullback in the economy, as it focuses on the numbers showing job applications exceeding jobless numbers. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is again expected to raise rates steeply (0.75%) at its meeting ending on Wednesday July 27. The main reason will once again be the persistent malaise …

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A recession could be looming in the second half, according to the Natixis IM survey

A recession could be looming in the second half, according to the Natixis IM survey

Nearly a quarter of respondents believe a recession in the next six months is inevitable. Two-thirds of respondents consider that this is currently only a possibility. The results of the Natixis Center for Investor Insight’s half-yearly survey of 34 experts show that almost a quarter (24%) of them believe that a recession over the next …

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The resilience of the SMI during the German recession

The resilience of the SMI during the German recession

The German stock market has fallen by an average of 3% over the past six phases of economic decline, while the SMI is showing a positive balance of 6%. Every week, the markets register record negative indices. Uncertainty about key US central bank rates, a slowing European economy and high inflation are driving investors away …

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"The risk of recession is greater in the United States than in the global economy."  - Chatborgne

“The risk of recession is greater in the United States than in the global economy.” – Chatborgne

Few people could have predicted the current economic scenario. Russia invaded Ukraine and cross-sanctions triggered the commodity and energy pricesthe website Global supply chain is still at its lowest, and the financial markets have been hit by the euro crisis. massive sale of stocks and bondsamong many other factors. Consumer confidence and spending have also …

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