The bond markets have turned too quickly away from the subject of inflation, and are more interested in the prospects for growth. Global central banks are aggressively tightening policy to rein in decades-high inflation, sparking fears of an impending economic recession. The latest US inflation data has slowed slightly, but is still far too high …
Will the risk of recession remain in the hands of central banks? Read More »
The Bank of England (BoE) raised interest rates by 0.5 percentage point to 1.75, the biggest rise in 27 years. She did so as the UK is about to enter a long period of recession and will drive up unemployment and social hardship for millions. The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) announced its …
The Bank of England plans the social counter-revolution Read More »
Pending a decline in inflation in early 2023, growth prospects are clearly on the downside. In July, the cyclical indicators in Europe and the United States accentuated their decline to the point of approaching or crossing, in some cases, the threshold for entering recession. The deterioration affects the business climate, household confidence, consumer spending, activity …
On Thursday, the Commerce Department announced that the US economy had contracted for the second consecutive quarter, entering a “technical recession”. Along with the economic contraction comes a series of layoffs that threaten to turn into a torrent as the economy slows further. This month, more than 30,000 layoffs took place in the technology sector …
The Class Dynamics of the Federal Reserve’s Recession Program Read More »
The Federal Reserve seems not to believe in a pullback in the economy, as it focuses on the numbers showing job applications exceeding jobless numbers. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is again expected to raise rates steeply (0.75%) at its meeting ending on Wednesday July 27. The main reason will once again be the persistent malaise …
Fed drives looking in rearview mirror as recession waits around the next bend Read More »
The American central bank, the Fed, still hopes to be able to slow down inflation without causing a recession. It should carry out a fourth sharp increase in its key rates on Wednesday, but finding the right balance will be a high-flying exercise. “They want to try to achieve what they call a + soft …
Inflation or recession, the Fed will have to juggle again Read More »
Nearly a quarter of respondents believe a recession in the next six months is inevitable. Two-thirds of respondents consider that this is currently only a possibility. The results of the Natixis Center for Investor Insight’s half-yearly survey of 34 experts show that almost a quarter (24%) of them believe that a recession over the next …
A recession could be looming in the second half, according to the Natixis IM survey Read More »
The German stock market has fallen by an average of 3% over the past six phases of economic decline, while the SMI is showing a positive balance of 6%. Every week, the markets register record negative indices. Uncertainty about key US central bank rates, a slowing European economy and high inflation are driving investors away …
The resilience of the SMI during the German recession Read More »
I have always told you, in the marvelous world of finance; we are visionaries. There are very few people on planet Earth who can look ahead and see as far ahead as the investment experts and stars of Wall Street. This ability to analyze multiple stories head-on and draw precise and – most of the …
Few people could have predicted the current economic scenario. Russia invaded Ukraine and cross-sanctions triggered the commodity and energy pricesthe website Global supply chain is still at its lowest, and the financial markets have been hit by the euro crisis. massive sale of stocks and bondsamong many other factors. Consumer confidence and spending have also …
